PredicTrader AI

AI Oracle Sentinel + Social Copy-Trading for DreamDEX Event Contracts · Somnia × DreamDEX Hackathon

DEMO FEED · Shannon TestnetDocs ↗

3-MODEL ENSEMBLE

Strike Φ (tanh approx) + Momentum tilt (diffusive √h) + Staleness detector. Edge band + max-disagreement muzzle.

COPY-TRADING

Follow top predictors 1-click. On-chain fill proof · slippage guard · size multiplier.

Leaderboard →

SETTLEMENT AUDIT

Every market links to its oracle explorer: sources, median, thresholds, receipts.

Live Markets · AI Signals

3 windows · edge ≥ 3% · IOC cross

BTC · BTC-0-26AUG26-1600

30m left · strike

BUY YES

FAIR (AI)

80.5%

pUp 0.805

MID / ASK

76.5%

ask 0.775

EDGE

400 bps

conf 78%

strike z=0.88 σ=0.97% + momentum blend | BUY_YES edge +4.0% ask=0.775

🔍 Audit oracle →

ETH · ETH-0-26AUG26-1600

29m left · strike

BUY YES

FAIR (AI)

62.0%

pUp 0.620

MID / ASK

48.5%

ask 0.510

EDGE

1350 bps

conf 65%

strike z=0.56 σ=1.11% | BUY_YES edge +13.5%

BTC · BTC-6389760-26AUG26-1540

15m left · strike

BUY NO

FAIR (AI)

42.0%

pUp 0.420

MID / ASK

58.0%

ask 0.610

EDGE

-1600 bps

conf 61%

strike z=-0.31 σ=0.97% | BUY_NO edge 16.0% (NO fair 0.580 ask 0.450)

How it wins

Gotcha-proof: on-chain status gate (Trading only), bigint tick-grid (InvalidPrice fix), Finalized redeem scan, marketId keying.
Staleness edge: profit when spot jumps 30bps but book hasn't — latency edge vs slow makers, not forecasting.
Social loop: copy-trading = viral distribution + builder fees (DreamDEX builderFeeBpsTimes1k).

DRY_RUN=true tsx bot/index.tsnpm run dev